A relatively weaker La Nina compared to last year has resulted in a warmer and drier first half of the winter thus far. This pattern is expected to transition into a somewhat more seasonal weather pattern into early February. Expectations from the Climate Prediction Center suggest an equal chance of below normal…near normal…or above normal temperatures and precipitation through February. Towards later in the spring…the Climate Prediction Center suggests higher probability of another transition to above normal precipitation. Importantly, there is still more than enough of the winter season left to provide significant snowpack before the onset of the spring melt.
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